Villarreal 0–6 PSG: result & stats

Gooolll model readHow this works

It landed.

Current ratings

1533against1867

A 334-point difference on the rating scale.

The present numbers

Recorded ahead of kickoff

Goal expectation

Villarreal1.54

PSG3.64

Expected share of the points

01
334 points is a wide separation: PSG rates 1867, Villarreal 1533. That resolves to 8.2% / 18.6% / 73.2%.
02
Before kickoff our model had this at 11.5% / 20.1% / 68.4%. The result went the way that forecast pointed. A decisive result carries 81.4% against 18.6% for the draw. Both ratings rest on a reasonable base — 62 and 64 rated matches respectively. The away side is rated higher. Rounding the goal expectations gives a predicted 1-3. 334 points of rating separation. The distribution runs from 73.2% down to 8.2%. Expected shares 17.5% against 82.5% on Elo. Attack/defence pairs: 1.32/1.28 and 2.11/0.79. Most likely single result is PSG on 73.2%. No scoreline stands out; 1-3 only leads on 7.0%. 0 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. PSG holds both halves of the profile — 2.11 against 1.32 for scoring, 0.79 against 1.28 for conceding, where the lower number is the better one. The match finished 0-6. First to second is a 54.6-point step, PSG over the draw. Versus the 1500 seed: +33 and +367. These figures stand as of today; the model updates them at full time.
03
Derived from elo-poisson-v1 on full history — published as analysis, not as tips.

Source: our elo-poisson-v1 model, run across the complete result record. Not betting guidance.

Match report

PSG overwhelmed Villarreal 6-0 on 3 November 2026.

Before the match

ten goals for and six against accompanied Villarreal's two wins, one draw and two defeats across five outings. On 30 October, Villarreal recorded a 1-0 defeat hosting Espanyol; their biggest win in that spell was 5-0 away to Manacor on 27 October.

Espanyol travelled to face Villarreal (La Liga) on 30 October. For Villarreal, the score was 0-1: zero goals scored, one allowed. 5-0 was Villarreal's result against Manacor on 27 October (Copa del Rey), playing away from home; Villarreal won, with five scored to zero conceded. The 24 October fixture (La Liga) paired Villarreal with Valencia. Villarreal won 2-1 away from home, netting two goals while conceding one. Playing away from home against Liverpool (Champions League), Villarreal finished 3-4 on 20 October. Their score comprised three goals, against four from the opposition. 17 October: Villarreal drew 0-0 against Elche at home in La Liga, scoring zero goals and allowing zero.

Villarreal: 20th, three points, three matches in the calculated Champions League standings at kickoff.

PSG were unbeaten in their last five games, with five wins, scoring 18 goals and conceding six. On 30 October, PSG recorded a 5-1 win visiting Le Havre.

Ligue 1, 30 October brought an away meeting with Le Havre; PSG won 5-1, a return of five goals scored and one conceded. PSG hosted Olympique Lyon on 26 October (Ligue 1) and won 2-0; their goals totalled two, compared with zero conceded. Barça travelled to face PSG (Champions League) on 20 October. For PSG, the score was 4-2: four goals scored, two allowed. 3-1 was PSG's result against Strasbourg on 17 October (Ligue 1), playing away from home; PSG won, with three scored to one conceded. The 14 October fixture (Champions League) paired PSG with Man City. PSG won 4-2 away from home, netting four goals while conceding two.

PSG stood 1st in the results-based Champions League table before kickoff, with nine points from three matches.

After the match

Joao Neves opened the scoring inside the first 9 minutes for PSG to make it 1-0. Desire Doue added to the tally inside the first 12 minutes for PSG, set up by Maghnes Akliouche, to make it 2-0. With the 3rd goal, PSG extended the lead through Senny Mayulu inside the first 13 minutes to make it 3-0. Fabián Ruiz scored the 4th goal for PSG in the 17th minute as they extended the lead, set up by Maghnes Akliouche, to make it 4-0. PSG extended the lead 50 minutes into the game; the match's 5th goal came through Fabián Ruiz, set up by Vitinha, to make it 5-0. The 6th goal came 78 minutes into the game from David Boly for PSG, who extended the lead, set up by Joao Neves, to make it 6-0. Santi Comesaña (45'), Santiago Mouriño (50'), Sergi Cardona (66'), Quentin Ndjantou (74') and Alberto Moleiro (78') were booked. PSG's victory matches the model's current-rating preference: 73.2% for a win in this pairing. On current ratings the model puts PSG at around 3.64 gols in this pairing; they scored 6 here. PSG's current recorded form ends with 10 consecutive wins in the 2026/27 Champions League and the 2026/27 Ligue 1. Villarreal: four yellow cards. five changes were recorded for Villarreal. Sergi Cardona entered for Villarreal at 46 minutes and later was booked. After coming on for Villarreal in minute 63, Alberto Moleiro was booked. The card tally for PSG was one yellow card. five changes were recorded for PSG. David Boly entered for PSG at 74 minutes and later scored in minute 78. After coming on for PSG in minute 74, Quentin Ndjantou was booked. A clean sheet for PSG.