Galatasaray 2–0 Stuttgart: result & stats

Gooolll model readHow this works

It landed.

Current ratings

1670against1639

A 31-point difference on the rating scale.

The present numbers

Recorded ahead of kickoff

Goal expectation

Galatasaray2.16

Stuttgart2.09

Expected share of the points

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1670 plays 1639; the model splits it 51.1% / 24.7% / 24.2%. The underlying rates are near-identical — attack 1.40 against 1.45, defence 1.07 against 1.04.
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What is quoted is today's rating, not the figure carried into kickoff. Scorelines above 8%: 0. The model gives 75.3% to someone winning. Versus the 1500 seed: +170 and +139. Taken to a single scoreline the model lands on 2-2. On the Elo curve they expect 63.5% and 36.5% of the points. Result on the day: 2-0. Galatasaray leads the distribution by 26.4 points over the draw. Nothing concentrates: top scoreline 2-2 on 7.3%. Between best and worst outcome there is 26.9 points of daylight. Rating separation comes to 31 points. Top of the distribution: Galatasaray, 51.1%. Raw profiles are 1.40 and 1.07 against 1.45 and 1.04. Behind them are 26 and 48 rated matches. Higher rating: the home side. Our pre-match read, logged before the game: 44.4% / 26.2% / 29.4%. That call matched the result. On expected goals the model has it 2.16 against 2.09.
03
elo-poisson-v1 output, computed in-house. Not betting advice.

Source: our elo-poisson-v1 model, run across the complete result record. Not betting guidance.

Match report

Galatasaray beat Stuttgart 2-0 on 3 November 2026.

Before the match

Galatasaray: four wins and one defeat over five games; 12 goals scored, seven conceded. Latest: a 4-0 win away to Konyaspor on 30 October.

On 30 October, Konyaspor faced Galatasaray in Süper Lig: Galatasaray won 4-0 away from home, having scored four and conceded zero. Süper Lig, 26 October brought a home meeting with Fenerbahçe; Galatasaray won 2-1, a return of two goals scored and one conceded. Galatasaray visited Lille on 21 October (Champions League) and won 4-2; their goals totalled four, compared with two conceded. Gençlerbirliği S.K. hosted Galatasaray (Süper Lig) on 17 October. For Galatasaray, the score was 1-0: one goal scored, zero allowed. 1-4 was Galatasaray's result against Barça on 13 October (Champions League), playing at home; Galatasaray lost, with one scored to four conceded.

Before kickoff, Champions League's results-based standings placed Galatasaray 23rd after three matches and three points.

Stuttgart's previous five results comprised two wins, one draw and two defeats. Their goal totals were 8 scored and 7 conceded. Latest: a 4-2 win away to Leverkusen on 31 October.

4-2 was Stuttgart's result against Leverkusen on 31 October (Bundesliga), playing away from home; Stuttgart won, with four scored to two conceded. The 28 October fixture (DFB-Pokal) paired Stuttgart with SC Paderborn. Stuttgart won 1-0 away from home, netting one goal while conceding zero. Playing at home against M'gladbach (Bundesliga), Stuttgart finished 2-3 on 23 October. Their score comprised two goals, against three from the opposition. 20 October: Stuttgart drew 1-1 against Atleti at home in Champions League, scoring one goal and allowing one. Against HSV in Bundesliga, Stuttgart scored zero and conceded one on 17 October; the away from home result was 0-1.

seven points in three matches put Stuttgart 6th in the pre-match results-based Champions League standings.

After the match

Aleksey Batrakov opened the scoring inside the first 12 minutes for Galatasaray to make it 1-0. Aleksey Batrakov added to the tally inside the first 15 minutes for Galatasaray, set up by Davinson Sánchez, to make it 2-0. 8 players were booked, among them Atakan Karazor (2'), Deniz Undav (38'), Baris Yilmaz (39'), Yanik Spalt (45'), Grischa Prömel (61') and Roland Sallai (62'). Galatasaray's current recorded form ends with 5 consecutive wins in the 2026/27 Champions League and the 2026/27 Süper Lig. Galatasaray picked up three yellow cards. Galatasaray: five substitutions. Stuttgart picked up five yellow cards. Stuttgart: five substitutions. After coming on for Stuttgart in minute 18, Yanik Spalt was booked. Galatasaray kept their opponents scoreless.