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Gooolll model readHow this works
Current ratings

1501against1432

A 69-point difference on the rating scale.

The present numbers
Goal expectation
Gil Vicente1.09
Vitória SC0.89
Expected share of the points
  1. 01

    Prior record: 7-6-9 across 22 since 2011. Most recent 2026, 0-1 in Primeira Liga. Currently 1501 against 1432 — a 56.7% / 23.3% / 20.0% split.

  2. 02

    Final score: 0-0. A 69-point difference on the rating scale. Gil Vicente's expected share on the Elo curve comes to 68.4%. Gil Vicente holds a 33.4-point edge on the next outcome. 1-0 tops the scoreline distribution on 15.1%. Against the 1500 rating every team starts from, they sit at +1 and -68. Top of the distribution: Gil Vicente, 56.7%. xG: 1.09 to 0.89. Ratings shown are post-fixture — one current value is kept per team. Behind them are 44 and 44 rated matches. Attack/defence pairs: 0.79/0.79 and 0.83/0.93. 5 scorelines clear 8% individually. A decisive result carries 76.7% against 23.3% for the draw. Between best and worst outcome there is 36.7 points of daylight. Its point estimate is 1-0. The home side is rated higher. Attack and defence disagree about who is favoured: 0.83 to 0.79 says Vitória SC, 0.79 to 0.93 says Gil Vicente.

  3. 03

    elo-poisson-v1 output, computed in-house. Not betting advice.

Source: our elo-poisson-v1 model, run across the complete result record. Not betting guidance.

Match report

Gil Vicente and Vitória SC could not be separated in a goalless draw on 2 November 2026.

Before the match

five goals for and six against accompanied Gil Vicente's two wins, one draw and two defeats across five outings. On 24 October, Gil Vicente recorded a 1-0 defeat hosting Porto.

Porto travelled to face Gil Vicente (Primeira Liga) on 24 October. For Gil Vicente, the score was 0-1: zero goals scored, one allowed. 2-1 was Gil Vicente's result against Braga on 19 October (Primeira Liga), playing away from home; Gil Vicente won, with two scored to one conceded. The 9 October fixture (Primeira Liga) paired Gil Vicente with Moreirense. Gil Vicente won 1-0 away from home, netting one goal while conceding zero. Playing at home against Marítimo (Primeira Liga), Gil Vicente finished 1-1 on 19 September. Their score comprised one goal, against one from the opposition. 13 September: Gil Vicente lost 1-3 against SL Benfica away from home in Primeira Liga, scoring one goal and allowing three.

Gil Vicente stood 8th in the results-based Primeira Liga table before kickoff, with 14 points from nine matches.

Vitória SC: one win, two draws and two defeats over five games; seven goals scored, five conceded. Marítimo were their latest opponents, at home on 23 October: a 5-0 win.

Against Marítimo in Primeira Liga, Vitória SC scored five and conceded zero on 23 October; the at home result was 5-0. Vitória SC's away from home game on 11 October (Primeira Liga) ended 0-2 against SL Benfica, with zero goals for and two against. On 20 September, Moreirense faced Vitória SC in Primeira Liga: Vitória SC drew 1-1 at home, having scored one and conceded one. Primeira Liga, 12 September brought an away meeting with Acad. Viseu; Vitória SC lost 1-2, a return of one goal scored and two conceded. Vitória SC hosted Casa Pia on 6 September (Primeira Liga) and drew 0-0; their goals totalled zero, compared with zero conceded.

Before kickoff, Primeira Liga's results-based standings placed Vitória SC 13th after nine matches and eight points.

The teams' recorded encounters ended in a 1-0 away win for Vitória SC on 18 April and a 0-0 draw at Vitória SC on 8 December 2025.

After the match

Santi García (40'), Ricardo Esgaio (54') and Toni Borevković (60') were booked. On our current Elo ratings the gap is a modest one: Gil Vicente are 69 points stronger than Vitória SC. two yellow cards went to Gil Vicente. The substitution total for Gil Vicente was five. one yellow card went to Vitória SC. Vitória SC: four substitutions. Gil Vicente conceded no goals. Vitória SC kept their opponents scoreless.