Match Report
Amadora edged past Braga 2-1 on 10 September 2026. Gabriel Martínez opened the scoring inside the first 5 minutes for Braga, set up by Pau Victor Delgado, to make it 1-0. Ianis Stoica levelled it in the 45th minute for Amadora, set up by Eddy Doué, to make it 1-1. Ianis Stoica put Amadora in front 56 minutes into the game, set up by Abraham Marcus, to make it 2-1. Stefan Lekovic (27'), João Moutinho (77') and Luan Patrick (85') were booked. Our current Elo ratings make Braga clearly the stronger side, by 191 rating points over Amadora, even though it was Amadora who won this one. On current ratings our Elo-Poisson model gives Amadora only a 20.8% chance in this pairing, the least likely of the three outcomes. Amadora won this pairing for the first time in our records, after 2 meetings without a win.