Match Report
Real Sociedad edged past Valencia 3-2 on 20 September 2026. Justin de Haas (11'), Gaya (12') and Luka Sučić (54') were booked. Our current Elo ratings have the two sides almost level, Valencia just 4 rating points ahead of Real Sociedad, so on those numbers there is little to choose between them. On current ratings our Elo-Poisson model gives Real Sociedad only a 27.4% chance in this pairing, less than one in three. Real Sociedad won this pairing for the first time in our records, after 2 meetings without a win.