2 meetings sit in the record, first in 2025, aggregate 4-3. The latest was 2026, 2-3 in comp-fd-PD. The present numbers are 1395 against 1455, and the model turns that into 36.8% / 27.8% / 35.4%.
A decisive result carries 72.2% against 27.8% for the draw. The ratings above are current values, not a pre-match snapshot. Behind them are 45 and 43 rated matches. 2 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. The single-scoreline output is 1-1. The leading two outcomes sit 1.4 points apart, which is not a real preference. Expected goals 1.53-1.72. The three outcomes sit within 9.0 points of each other — an unusually flat distribution. Attack and defence disagree about who is favoured: 1.06 to 0.79 says Levante, 1.20 to 1.31 says Osasuna. Most likely single result is Osasuna on 36.8%. In absolute terms: Osasuna 0.79/1.20, Levante 1.06/1.31 on attack and defence. Played and finished 0-0. The rating gap itself is 60 points, which is moderate by the model's standards. Logged in advance of kickoff — 37.9% / 27.6% / 34.5%. That one did not come off. The higher rating belongs to the away side. The higher-rated side expects 49.3% of the points; the other side 50.7%.
Our own elo-poisson-v1 figures — analytical, not advisory.