West Brom 1–1 Southampton: result & stats

Gooolll model readHow this works

Current ratings

1530against1684

A 154-point difference on the rating scale.

The present numbers

Goal expectation

West Brom1.05

Southampton1.57

Expected share of the points

01
On record: 21 meetings from 2012, 19-26 on aggregate, 4 drawn. Their most recent was 2026, 1-1 in Championship. Currently 1530 against 1684 — a 25.0% / 24.9% / 50.1% split.
02
Both figures rest on decent samples, 60 and 62 matches. It ended 1-1. The scoreline spread is even — 1-1 on 12.0% leads, but only just. Top of the distribution: Southampton, 50.1%. On the Elo curve, expected shares run 37.5% to 62.5%. Southampton is ahead on each half — 1.47 to 0.95 in attack, 0.74 to 0.79 in defence. 4 scorelines clear 8% individually. Distance between the ratings: 154 points, wide on this scale. A 25.1-point margin separates the top two outcomes. Expected goals come out at 1.05 to 1.57. Between them, the away side holds the higher rating. A decisive result carries 75.1% against 24.9% for the draw. Between best and worst outcome there is 25.2 points of daylight. From the 1500 baseline they currently stand at +30 and +184. In absolute terms: West Brom 0.95/0.79, Southampton 1.47/0.74 on attack and defence. As a single number the model says 1-1. Ratings shown are post-fixture — one current value is kept per team.
03
Our elo-poisson-v1 rating generated these numbers. They are analysis and not advice to bet.

Source: our elo-poisson-v1 model, run across the complete result record. Not betting guidance.

Match report

West Brom and Southampton drew 1-1 on 3 November 2026.

Before the match

West Brom came into the game with three wins, one draw and one defeat from their last five outings, scoring nine goals and conceding six. A 3-1 win away to West Ham (31 October) was their most recent result.

Championship, 31 October brought an away meeting with West Ham; West Brom won 3-1, a return of three goals scored and one conceded. West Brom visited Preston NE on 24 October (Championship) and drew 1-1; their goals totalled one, compared with one conceded. Blackburn travelled to face West Brom (Championship) on 17 October. For West Brom, the score was 3-2: three goals scored, two allowed. 2-1 was West Brom's result against Wrexham on 13 October (Championship), playing away from home; West Brom won, with two scored to one conceded. The 10 October fixture (Championship) paired West Brom with Birmingham. West Brom lost 0-1 at home, netting zero goals while conceding one.

West Brom stood 6th in the results-based Championship table before kickoff, with 24 points from 13 matches.

Southampton were unbeaten in their last five games, with four wins and one draw, scoring nine goals and conceding three, keeping three clean sheets. On 31 October, Southampton recorded a 4-1 win hosting QPR.

QPR travelled to face Southampton (Championship) on 31 October. For Southampton, the score was 4-1: four goals scored, one allowed. 3-2 was Southampton's result against West Ham on 24 October (Championship), playing away from home; Southampton won, with three scored to two conceded. The 17 October fixture (Championship) paired Southampton with Bolton. Southampton drew 0-0 at home, netting zero goals while conceding zero. Playing away from home against Norwich (Championship), Southampton finished 1-0 on 14 October. Their score comprised one goal, against zero from the opposition. 11 October: Southampton won 1-0 against Portsmouth at home in Championship, scoring one goal and allowing zero.

Southampton stood 2nd in the results-based Championship table before kickoff, with 27 points from 13 matches.

Previous meetings in our records: a 1-1 draw at West Brom on 11 March and a 3-2 home win for Southampton on 9 December 2025.

After the match

Isaac Price opened the scoring from the penalty spot in the 22nd minute for West Brom to make it 1-0. Samuel Edozie levelled it 53 minutes into the game for Southampton to make it 1-1. Callum Styles (61'), Rabby Nzingoula (66') and Flynn Downes (77') were booked. West Brom are unbeaten in the latest 5 matches of their recorded form in the 2026/27 Championship. Southampton are unbeaten in the latest 6 matches of their recorded form in the 2026/27 Championship. West Brom picked up two yellow cards. West Brom: four substitutions. The card tally for Southampton was one yellow card. two changes were recorded for Southampton.