The head-to-head counts 2 recorded meetings since 2025: 0 to QPR, 0 to Preston NE, 2 drawn, 2-2 on aggregate. Most recently 2026, 1-1 in comp-fd-ELC. Set beside that history, the ratings stand at 1441 and 1445 — 4 points — for a 45.8% / 25.9% / 28.4% split.
Broken into parts the two profiles nearly overlap, 0.94 versus 0.88 in attack and 1.25 versus 1.21 at the back. The tie closed out 2-2. The scoreline spread is even — 1-1 on 10.5% leads, but only just. In absolute terms: QPR 0.94/1.25, Preston NE 0.88/1.21 on attack and defence. A decisive result carries 74.2% against 25.9% for the draw. Against the 1500 rating every team starts from, they sit at -59 and -55. xG: 1.68 to 1.48. The higher rating belongs to the away side. 2 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. Outcomes span 19.9 points. With 46 and 46 rated matches apiece, both numbers are on solid ground. Expected shares 58.7% against 41.3% on Elo. Most likely single result is QPR on 45.8%. First to second is a 17.4-point step, QPR over Preston NE.
Source: our elo-poisson-v1 model, run across the complete result record. Not betting guidance.