On record: 2 meetings from 2025, 3-4 on aggregate, 0 drawn. Their most recent was 2025, 2-1 in comp-fd-ELC. Today those sides rate 1475 and 1441, 34 apart, which resolves to 51.5% / 24.5% / 23.9%.
Raw profiles are 0.80 and 0.79 against 0.94 and 1.25. Scorelines above 8%: 5. A decisive result carries 75.4% against 24.5% for the draw. These are live ratings — this fixture is already reflected in them. 51.5% goes to West Brom, the model's lean. The higher rating expects 63.9% of the points, the lower 36.1%. Measured from the model's 1500 starting point, the two ratings read -25 and -59. Both figures rest on decent samples, 46 and 46 matches. Attack and defence disagree about who is favoured: 0.94 to 0.80 says QPR, 0.79 to 1.25 says West Brom. Flat distribution — 1-1 tops it at just 12.4%. A 27.6-point range top to bottom. As a single number the model says 1-1. The model's expected-goals figures are 1.47 and 1.00. West Brom sits 27.0 points above the next most likely result. The home side is rated higher. Rating separation comes to 34 points.
All of the above is elo-poisson-v1 output built from complete results. Not betting advice.
Match Report
West Brom and QPR drew 1-1 on 12 September 2026. Chris Mepham (an own goal) opened the scoring in the 38th minute for QPR to make it 1-0. Callum Styles levelled it in the 41st minute for West Brom, set up by Felix Myhre, to make it 1-1. Glen Kamara (51'), Jake Clarke-Salter (63'), Jonathan Varane (64') and Rumarn Burrell (80') were booked.