Match Report
West Brom edged past Derby County 1-0 on 9 September 2026. Aune Heggebø opened the scoring in the 16th minute for West Brom, set up by Jimmy Morgan, to make it 1-0. Brayann Pereira (34') was sent off. Harry Whitwell (10'), Brayann Pereira (26') and Jimmy Morgan (82') were booked. Our current Elo ratings make Derby County slightly the stronger side, by 60 rating points over West Brom, even though it was West Brom who won this one. On current ratings our Elo-Poisson model gives West Brom only a 20.8% chance in this pairing, the least likely of the three outcomes. West Brom won this pairing for the first time in our records, after 2 meetings without a win.