Match Report
Stoke edged past Norwich 1-0 on 1 September 2026. Ethan Galbraith opened the scoring inside the first 13 minutes for Stoke to make it 1-0. Bosun Lawal (47'), Ethan Galbraith (49'), José Cordoba (61') and Kenny McLean (66') were booked. Our current Elo ratings make Norwich clearly the stronger side, by 165 rating points over Stoke, even though it was Stoke who won this one. On current ratings our Elo-Poisson model gives Stoke only a 23.8% chance in this pairing, the least likely of the three outcomes. Stoke are unbeaten in the latest 5 matches of their recorded form.