Match Report
QPR edged past Blackburn 2-1 on 29 August 2026. Ryoya Morishita opened the scoring 49 minutes into the game for Blackburn, set up by Andri Guðjohnsen, to make it 1-0. Paul Smyth levelled it 51 minutes into the game for QPR, set up by Rumarn Burrell, to make it 1-1. Jimmy Dunne put QPR in front 74 minutes into the game, set up by Tariq Lamptey, to make it 2-1. Jake Clarke-Salter (31'), Ronnie Edwards (40'), Andri Guðjohnsen (65'), Sean McLoughlin (76') and Sam Morsy (80') were booked. Our current Elo ratings make Blackburn slightly the stronger side, by 26 rating points over QPR, even though it was QPR who won this one. Every goal came after the interval. On current ratings our Elo-Poisson model gives QPR only a 24.8% chance in this pairing, less than one in three.