Match Report
Watford edged past Southampton 2-1 on 16 August 2026. Iker Bravo opened the scoring inside the first 12 minutes for Watford to make it 1-0. Amin Nabizada added to the tally in the 29th minute for Watford to make it 2-0. Cyle Larin pulled one back 56 minutes into the game for Southampton, set up by Cameron Bragg, to make it 1-2. 9 players were booked, among them Hector Matthew Kyprianou (8'), Matthew Pollock (13'), Cyle Larin (14'), James Bree (18'), Amin Nabizada (43') and Mamadou Doumbia (72'). Our current Elo ratings make Southampton clearly the stronger side, by 249 rating points over Watford, even though it was Watford who won this one. On current ratings our Elo-Poisson model gives Watford only a 15% chance in this pairing, the least likely of the three outcomes. Watford won this pairing for the first time in our records, after 2 meetings without a win.