Lorient 0–2 Brest: result & stats

Gooolll model readHow this works

Current ratings

1487against1479

A 8-point difference on the rating scale.

The present numbers

Recorded ahead of kickoff

Goal expectation

Lorient1.41

Brest1.27

Expected share of the points

01
18 meetings sit in the record, first in 2010, aggregate 26-24. The latest was 2026, 0-2 in Ligue 1. Today those sides rate 1487 and 1479, 8 apart, which resolves to 47.7% / 25.4% / 26.9%.
02
4 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. The model keeps one current rating per side, so these include this match. Attack/defence pairs: 0.86/0.88 and 1.07/1.11. Lorient carries the largest share, 47.7%. As a single number the model says 1-1. Measured from the model's 1500 starting point, the two ratings read -13 and -21. The two halves pull apart — Brest better going forward at 1.07, Lorient tighter at the back on 0.88. 74.6% of the probability sits on a decisive outcome. The match finished 0-2. A 22.3-point range top to bottom. Flat distribution — 1-1 tops it at just 12.3%. Recorded ahead of kickoff: 55.0% / 23.7% / 21.3%. The match did not follow it. By expected share of the points: 60.4% and 39.6%. Higher rating: the home side. The underlying goal expectation is 1.41 for Lorient, 1.27 for Brest. Distance between the ratings: 8 points, narrow on this scale. Lorient holds a 20.8-point edge on the next outcome.
03
elo-poisson-v1 output, computed in-house. Not betting advice.

Source: our elo-poisson-v1 model, run across the complete result record. Not betting guidance.

Match report

Brest beat Lorient 2-0 on 2 November 2026.

Before the match

Lorient's previous five results comprised two wins, two draws and one defeat. Their goal totals were 5 scored and 4 conceded, keeping three clean sheets. Angers SCO were their latest opponents, away on 25 October: a 0-0 draw.

On 25 October, Angers SCO faced Lorient in Ligue 1: Lorient drew 0-0 away from home, having scored zero and conceded zero. Ligue 1, 18 October brought a home meeting with Monaco; Lorient won 1-0, a return of one goal scored and zero conceded. Lorient hosted Paris FC on 10 October (Ligue 1) and won 1-0; their goals totalled one, compared with zero conceded. Le Mans hosted Lorient (Ligue 1) on 19 September. For Lorient, the score was 1-2: one goal scored, two allowed. 2-2 was Lorient's result against Toulouse on 12 September (Ligue 1), playing at home; Lorient drew, with two scored to two conceded.

Before kickoff, Ligue 1's results-based standings placed Lorient 10th after eight matches and 12 points.

Brest: one win, one draw and three defeats over five games; eight goals scored, seven conceded. Latest: a 2-1 defeat at home to Nice on 23 October; their biggest win in that spell was 5-1 at home to Angers SCO on 10 October.

Against Nice in Ligue 1, Brest scored one and conceded two on 23 October; the at home result was 1-2. Brest's away from home game on 17 October (Ligue 1) ended 1-1 against Lille, with one goal for and one against. On 10 October, Angers SCO faced Brest in Ligue 1: Brest won 5-1 at home, having scored five and conceded one. Ligue 1, 20 September brought an away meeting with Auxerre; Brest lost 1-2, a return of one goal scored and two conceded. Brest hosted PSG on 13 September (Ligue 1) and lost 0-1; their goals totalled zero, compared with one conceded.

nine points in eight matches put Brest 14th in the pre-match results-based Ligue 1 standings.

Previous meetings in our records: a 2-0 home win for Brest on 7 February and a 3-3 draw at Lorient on 19 October 2025.

After the match

Ludovic Ajorque opened the scoring 69 minutes into the game for Brest to make it 1-0. Noah Edjouma added to the tally in the 92nd minute for Brest, set up by Giovani Versini, to make it 2-0. Mama Baldé (41') and Souleymane Isaak Toure (58') were booked. Our current Elo ratings have the two sides almost level, Lorient just 8 rating points ahead of Brest, so on those numbers there is little to choose between them. On current ratings our Elo-Poisson model gives Brest only a 26.9% chance in this pairing, less than one in three. Lorient picked up one yellow card. Lorient: five substitutions. Brest: one yellow card. Brest made three changes. Giovani Versini entered for Brest at 76 minutes and later provided an assist. After coming on for Brest in minute 76, Noah Edjouma scored in minute 92. Brest finished with a clean sheet.