Match Report
Cagliari edged past Atalanta 2-1 on 12 September 2026. Paul Mendy opened the scoring in the 19th minute for Cagliari, set up by Michel Adopo, to make it 1-0. Gianluca Scamacca levelled it in the 41st minute for Atalanta, set up by Charles De Ketelaere, to make it 1-1. Cagliari regained the lead through Paul Mendy 51 minutes into the game to make it 2-1. Our current Elo ratings have the two sides almost level, Atalanta just 18 rating points ahead of Cagliari, so on those numbers there is little to choose between them. On current ratings our Elo-Poisson model gives Cagliari only a 25.8% chance in this pairing, less than one in three.