Match Report
Zwolle beat Heerenveen 2-0 on 22 August 2026. Ryan Thomas (40'), Koen Kostons (56') and Marcus Linday (79') were booked. Our current Elo ratings make Heerenveen clearly the stronger side, by 123 rating points over Zwolle, even though it was Zwolle who won this one. Every goal came after the interval. On current ratings our Elo-Poisson model gives Zwolle only a 14.6% chance in this pairing, the least likely of the three outcomes.