São Paulo 0–0 Corinthians: result & stats

Gooolll model readHow this works

Current ratings

1523against1486

A 37-point difference on the rating scale.

The present numbers

Recorded ahead of kickoff

Goal expectation

São Paulo1.07

Corinthians0.93

Expected share of the points

01
On file: 29 previous meetings dating to 2010, 38-43 on goals. Last time: 2026, 2-3 in Brasileirão Série A. The present numbers are 1523 against 1486, and the model turns that into 52.1% / 24.4% / 23.5%.
02
The two ratings differ by 37 points. Reduced to one result that is 1-0. The quoted ratings already absorb this match. Both figures rest on decent samples, 38 and 38 matches. The forecast we stored before the match was 57.4% / 23.1% / 19.4%. That one did not come off. The model's preferred outcome is São Paulo at 52.1%. 4 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. The underlying rates are near-identical — attack 0.82 against 0.79, defence 0.87 against 0.88. The tie closed out 0-0. The higher-rated side expects 64.3% of the points; the other side 35.7%. Goal expectation splits 1.07 to 0.93. Raw profiles are 0.82 and 0.87 against 0.79 and 0.88. Someone wins 75.6% of the time by this model. Spread thin across outcomes, 1-0 highest at 14.5%. Between them, the home side holds the higher rating. Every team starts at 1500; these two now sit at +23 and -14.
03
Figures are our own elo-poisson-v1 output, not a provider feed. Analysis, not betting advice.

Source: our elo-poisson-v1 model, run across the complete result record. Not betting guidance.

Match report

São Paulo and Corinthians could not be separated in a goalless draw on 5 November 2026.

Before the match

São Paulo came into the game with two wins, one draw and two defeats from their last five outings, scoring six goals and conceding seven. A 3-2 defeat away to Bahia (29 October) was their most recent result.

Brasileirão Série A, 29 October brought an away meeting with Bahia; São Paulo lost 2-3, a return of two goals scored and three conceded. São Paulo visited Mirassol on 24 October (Brasileirão Série A) and drew 1-1; their goals totalled one, compared with one conceded. Vasco da Gama travelled to face São Paulo (Brasileirão Série A) on 18 October. For São Paulo, the score was 1-0: one goal scored, zero allowed. 2-1 was São Paulo's result against Vitória on 11 October (Brasileirão Série A), playing at home; São Paulo won, with two scored to one conceded. The 8 October fixture (Brasileirão Série A) paired São Paulo with Cruzeiro. São Paulo lost 0-2 away from home, netting zero goals while conceding two.

São Paulo stood 10th in the results-based Brasileirão Série A table before kickoff, with 43 points from 33 matches.

Corinthians: one win, one draw and three defeats over five games; seven goals scored, ten conceded. Mirassol were their latest opponents, at home on 30 October: a 2-0 win.

Against Mirassol in Brasileirão Série A, Corinthians scored two and conceded zero on 30 October; the at home result was 2-0. Corinthians's away from home game on 24 October (Brasileirão Série A) ended 2-3 against Vasco da Gama, with two goals for and three against. On 19 October, Vitória faced Corinthians in Brasileirão Série A: Corinthians drew 1-1 at home, having scored one and conceded one. Brasileirão Série A, 11 October brought an away meeting with Palmeiras; Corinthians lost 1-4, a return of one goal scored and four conceded. Corinthians visited Internacional on 7 October (Brasileirão Série A) and lost 1-2; their goals totalled one, compared with two conceded.

36 points in 33 matches put Corinthians 18th in the pre-match results-based Brasileirão Série A standings.

Earlier results between these sides included a 3-2 home win for Corinthians on 10 May and a 3-1 home win for São Paulo on 29 September 2024.

After the match

Matheus Pereira (31') and Yuri Alberto (82') were sent off. 8 players were booked, among them Djhordney (31'), André Ramalho (45'), Pedro Milans (52'), Pedro Lima (60'), Newton (61') and Memphis Depay (67'). The card tally for São Paulo was five yellow cards. five changes were recorded for São Paulo. Ferreira was booked following entry for São Paulo in the 71st minute. Corinthians: three yellow cards and two red cards. Corinthians made five changes. After coming on for Corinthians in minute 62, Memphis Depay was booked. A clean sheet for São Paulo. Corinthians finished with a clean sheet.