Too close to call: 35.4% / 27.8% / 36.8%, top outcome 36.8%.
In absolute terms: Clube do Remo 0.90/1.17, Coritiba 1.02/1.23 on attack and defence. Logged in advance of kickoff — 39.5% / 27.2% / 33.3%. The match did not follow it. Nothing concentrates: top scoreline 1-1 on 10.2%. The single-scoreline output is 1-1. Someone wins 72.2% of the time by this model. The higher rating expects 50.7% of the points, the lower 49.3%. Top of the distribution: Coritiba, 36.8%. Against the 1500 start, the ratings run -81 and -11. Higher rating: the away side. Distance between the ratings: 70 points, moderate on this scale. A 1.4-point gap between the top two is inside the noise. It ended 2-3. These figures stand as of today; the model updates them at full time. 3 scorelines clear 8% individually. Coritiba has the better scoring rate (1.02) and Clube do Remo the better defensive one (1.17). A 9.0-point range covers every outcome here. Expected goals sit at 1.65 against 1.61. Just one prior encounter is on file — 2026, 0-1 in comp-fd-BSA. With 27 and 27 rated matches apiece, both numbers are on solid ground.
All of the above is elo-poisson-v1 output built from complete results. Not betting advice.
Match Report
Coritiba edged past Clube do Remo 3-2 on 31 August 2026. Jose Welison (an own goal) opened the scoring 47 minutes into the game for Coritiba to make it 1-0. Zé Ricardo levelled it 61 minutes into the game for Clube do Remo, set up by Duplexe Tchamba, to make it 1-1. Yago Pikachu put Clube do Remo in front 64 minutes into the game to make it 2-1. Fabinho levelled it 76 minutes into the game for Coritiba, set up by Paulo Roberto, to make it 2-2. Coritiba regained the lead through Pedro Rocha in the 93rd minute, set up by Sebastián Gómez, to make it 3-2. Tiago (56'), Gabriel Taliari (66'), Jose Welison (78') and Marllon (90') were booked. Fabinho scored after coming off the bench. On our current Elo ratings the gap is a modest one: Coritiba are 70 points stronger than Clube do Remo. Every goal came after the interval. Clube do Remo's current recorded form ends with 5 consecutive defeats in Brasileirão Série A 2026.