Their current standing of 1578 is best read next to the form that produced it. In their 10 recorded matches they are 4W 3D 3L, 15 scored and 12 conceded, 1.5 points per game.
Against the 19-team field they are 87 points clear of mean rating, scores 0.10 above average in attack and concedes 0.20 below it defensively. Compared with the field, the defensive figure is the more distinctive of the two. The recorded unbeaten run stands at 5 matches. Narrowing the records to five matches gives 3 wins against 0 losses. Taking their latest 40 recorded matches across competitions, the average sits at 1.48 for, 0.93 against. They sit 78 points above the 1500 starting rating. Split into parts: 1.02 attack, 0.78 defence — on the latter, lower is better. Current rating: 1578, drawn from 41 matches in the model's corpus. Their output across the last 40 recorded games in all competitions stands at 59 goals, with 37 let in. Diego Moreira scored 3 goals. Goal difference over the run is +3. Against field-average opposition, their expected points share is about 62.3%. Taking their latest 40 recorded matches across competitions, they have won by as much as 3, taking a fixture 3-0.
Produced by our elo-poisson-v1 model over full match history.
Team Overview
Milan have an Elo score of 1578 under our model. Milan beat Torino 2-1 in Serie A's 2026/27 season; subsequently they beat Venezia FC 2-0, drew with Juventus 1-1, drew with Lazio 2-2 and beat Lecce 3-0. Milan are unbeaten in the latest 5 matches of their recorded form in Serie A 2026/27. The recorded goals include contributions by Alphadjo Cisse (2), Adrien Rabiot (2), Gonçalo Ramos and Christian Pulisic. Milan conceded 37 goals over the latest 40 recorded matches across competitions, averaging 0.93 per game.