Form first: Over the last 6 they are 1W 1D 4L, 3 scored and 11 conceded, 0.7 points per game since 2024. That supports a current rating of 1416.
The peer set of 47 teams puts them 92 points below average rating, scores 0.22 below the mean forward, concedes 0.08 above it back. That works out at 0.50 scored and 1.83 conceded per match over the sample. 1 shutout have come from 3 matches. Globally the model places them 4108th out of 4,449. The model's present valuation is 1416, on a base of 6 matches. Peers are measured over results since 2025. The venue split is 0-0-2 home, 1-0-0 away. Narrowing to five matches gives 1 win against 3 losses. That leaves them -8 on goal difference across the sample. Their season rate comes to 0.33 goals a game at one end and 1.33 at the other. Attack reads 0.80, defence 1.10 — remembering that a smaller defensive figure is the stronger one. Of the two halves, the defensive side is where they separate most from competition average. That season comes to 3 matches with 1 at one end and 4 at the other.
Generated by elo-poisson-v1 across full history rather than republished.