Start with the recent run. Form in 10 recorded matches: 0.8 points per game, 2 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost. Behind it the model carries them at 1488.
In our record of their last 11 games across competitions, 9% of their sample — 1 match — has finished without conceding. The model's present valuation is 1488, on a base of 11 matches. Against the field-average side, that rating would expect 35.3% of the points. Most of their edge over the field is attacking. Relative to a 46-team field: 105 points below the average rating, scores 0.08 below the mean going forward, concedes 0.40 above it at the back. From the model's 1500 seed, they stand 12 points below it. Across their last 11 matches in our records, all competitions included, split by venue the record reads 2-2-2 at home and 1-0-4 away. Their last 11 matches on our books across competitions show 21 scored and 27 conceded. The two halves read 1.21 and 1.42, where a lower second number is stronger. On goals they are -9 across the period.
Trend data has started collecting; there are too few points to show a curve yet.
Everything here comes from our elo-poisson-v1 rating, not a third-party statistic.
Team Overview
Club Brugge have an Elo score of 1488 under our model. Club Brugge lost to Aston Villa 2-3 during the 2026/27 Champions League. The recorded goals include contributions by Hugo Vetlesen and Nicolo Tresoldi. They conceded 27 over the latest 11 recorded matches across competitions, 2.45 a game. Their worst defeat was 0-4 on 22 October 2025.