Canada's rating of 1496 rests on 5 rated matches, too few to be settled. We publish it because it is what the model holds, not because the precision is earned.
The run carries a +3 goal difference. Split into parts: 1.07 attack, 0.98 defence — on the latter, lower is better. That is inside the leading 39.1% of rated sides. Scoring ran at 1.80 a game with 1.20 conceded. Relative to a 47-team field: 10 points below the average rating, scores 0.06 above the mean going forward, concedes 0.04 below it at the back. Across the most recent five: 2 won, 2 lost. The comparison set covers results from 2025. Recent record: 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5, at 1.4 points per game, 9 for and 6 against. 5 rated matches sit behind the current figure of 1496. Globally the model places them 1740th out of 4,449.
Trend data has started collecting; there are too few points to show a curve yet.
Our elo-poisson-v1 model produced the above from the full match record.