A rating of 1590 on 5 matches carries real uncertainty; it is published as the model's current best, not a firm valuation.
Averaged out that is 1.00 goals a game at one end and 0.20 at the other. The last five break down as 3 wins and 0 defeats. The comparison set covers results from 2025. On the global percentile they land in the leading 9.6%. Their advantage over the field is mostly defensive. The run carries a +4 goal difference. Their season rate comes to 1.00 goals a game at one end and 0.20 at the other. They have won by as much as 2, taking a fixture 3-1. Split into parts: 0.92 attack, 0.77 defence — on the latter, lower is better. Against the 47-team field they are 86 points clear of mean rating, scores 0.10 below average in attack and concedes 0.26 below it defensively. They are unbeaten in their last 5. They have shut out the opposition 4 times in 5. The 2026 season record runs to 5 matches, 5 scored and 1 against. Current rating: 1590, drawn from 5 matches in the model's corpus. A 3-2-0 return from 5 matches since 2026 gives 2.2 points per game, with 5 scored against 1.
In-house elo-poisson-v1 numbers, derived from the complete result corpus.