A 3-1-6 return from 10 recorded matches gives 1.0 points per game, with 16 scored against 23. The rating sitting behind that is 1410.
Across their 10 matches in our records, split by venue the record reads 3-1-1 at home and 0-0-5 away. Against the 1500 starting rating they are 90 points below. The peer set of 47 teams puts them 110 points below average rating, scores 0.02 below the mean forward, concedes 0.26 above it back. Taking their 10 recorded matches, the average sits at 1.60 for, 2.30 against. Across their 10 matches in our records, a 4-1 stands as the sample's most one-sided win for them. Their expected share against the field-average side: 34.7%. The recorded comparison window opens in 2025. Taking their 10 recorded matches, at the other extreme they lost 0-5, a 5-goal margin. The 10 games we have on record produced 16 goals for and 23 against. Across their 10 matches in our records, they have yet to keep a clean sheet across those 10. Goal difference over the run is -7. Underneath the single number sit 1.04 going forward and 1.24 going back, the second being better the smaller it is.
In-house elo-poisson-v1 numbers, derived from the complete result corpus.
Team Overview
Our Elo rating for Uzbekistan is 1410; they are in the lower half of the World Cup field. Uzbekistan lost to Colombia 1-3; next they lost to Portugal 0-5 and lost to Congo DR 1-3. Eldor Shomurodov (3), I. Sergeev, Abbosbek Fayzullaev and Khuisain Norchaev scored in recorded matches. Uzbekistan conceded 23 goals in their 10 matches in our records, averaging 2.3 per game. Uzbekistan kept 0 clean sheets, a 0.0% share. Uzbekistan averaged 2.00 points at home and 0.00 away. Their worst defeat was 0-5 on 23 June 2026. Uzbekistan rate 110 Elo points below the other World Cup sides' average.