Uzbekistan's rating of 1389 rests on 3 rated matches, too few to be settled. We publish it because it is what the model holds, not because the precision is earned.
The last 3 have all been defeats. A 0-0-3 return from 3 matches since 2026 gives 0.0 points per game, with 2 scored against 11. The peer set of 47 teams puts them 119 points below average rating, scores 0.10 below the mean forward, concedes 0.28 above it back. They rank 4278 among the 4,449 teams the model carries. Goal difference over the run is -9. Per game across those matches: 0.67 for, 3.67 against. In percentile terms they clear the top 96.2%. Underneath the single number sit 0.91 going forward and 1.29 going back, the second being better the smaller it is. That benchmark window opens in 2025. The rating stands at 1389, built from 3 rated matches. The attacking half is the one carrying the gap to average.
A rating history is being recorded but does not yet hold enough points to plot.
In-house elo-poisson-v1 numbers, derived from the complete result corpus.