A rating of 1415 on 3 matches carries real uncertainty; it is published as the model's current best, not a firm valuation.
No loss has been wider than 2 goals, in a 1-3. Attack reads 0.96, defence 1.17 — remembering that a smaller defensive figure is the stronger one. The last 3 have all been defeats. They have yet to keep a clean sheet across those 3. Goals for and against net to -5. Form over 3: 0.0 points per game, 0 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost. The rating stands at 1415, built from 3 rated matches. Against every rated team, they fall in the leading 92.5%. Averaged out that is 1.00 goals a game at one end and 2.67 at the other. Relative to the field it is the attacking half of their profile that stands out further. Taken over the full season the rate is 1.00 scored and 2.67 against per match. Against the 47-team field they are 93 points below mean rating, scores 0.06 below average in attack and concedes 0.15 above it defensively. They rank 4115 among the 4,449 teams the model carries. Home and away the season divides into 0-0-2 and 0-0-1.
Generated by elo-poisson-v1 across full history rather than republished.