With only 3 rated matches on file, Qatar's 1423 is an early estimate rather than a settled figure.
Split by venue the season reads 0-1-0 at home and 0-0-2 away. They sit in the top 91.0% of every side the model has a rating for. Across 3 2026 fixtures the totals read 2 for, 10 against. That leaves them -8 on goal difference across the sample. The peer set of 47 teams puts them 85 points below average rating, scores 0.10 below the mean forward, concedes 0.24 above it back. Over the last 3 they are 0W 1D 2L, 2 scored and 10 conceded, 0.3 points per game since 2026. Among all 4,449 teams the model rates, they come in at 4047. The components behind it are 0.91 for scoring and 1.25 for goals conceded, where a lower second figure is the stronger one. Peers are measured over results since 2025. Every one of those 3 matches has seen them concede. Most of their edge over the field is attacking. Their heaviest defeat reads 0-6. Which is 0.67 scored per match against 3.33 shipped. The figure is 1423, supported by 3 matches of record.
Generated by elo-poisson-v1 across full history rather than republished.