Qatar's rating of 1423 rests on 3 rated matches, too few to be settled. We publish it because it is what the model holds, not because the precision is earned.
The figure is 1423, supported by 3 matches of record. That puts them inside the top 91.0% of everything the model rates. Of the two halves, the attacking side is where they separate most from competition average. That leaves them -8 on goal difference across the sample. The peer set of 47 teams puts them 85 points below average rating, scores 0.10 below the mean forward, concedes 0.24 above it back. Over the last 3 they are 0W 1D 2L, 2 scored and 10 conceded, 0.3 points per game since 2026. Among all 4,449 teams the model rates, they come in at 4049. The components behind it are 0.91 for scoring and 1.25 for goals conceded, where a lower second figure is the stronger one. Peers are measured over results since 2025. Which is 0.67 scored per match against 3.33 shipped.
A rating history is being recorded but does not yet hold enough points to plot.
Generated by elo-poisson-v1 across full history rather than republished.