4 wins in 8 is the headline; the rating underneath reads 1486, from 8 rated matches.
Among all 4,449 teams the model rates, they come in at 2184. On goals they are -2 across the period. Relative to a 47-team field: 20 points below the average rating, scores 0.01 below the mean going forward, concedes 0.06 above it at the back. Averaged out that is 1.38 goals a game at one end and 1.63 at the other. Across the most recent five: 3 won, 2 lost. Component-wise that is 1.00 forward and 1.08 back, the smaller defensive figure being the better one. That is inside the leading 49.1% of rated sides. The rating stands at 1486, built from 8 rated matches. Over the last 8 they are 4W 0D 4L, 11 scored and 13 conceded, 1.5 points per game since 2024. Peers are measured over results since 2025.
Trend data has started collecting; there are too few points to show a curve yet.
Our elo-poisson-v1 model produced the above from the full match record.