Start with the recent run. Form in 10 recorded matches: 1.9 points per game, 5 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost. Behind it the model carries them at 1529.
Across their 13 matches in our records, their most comfortable afternoon ended 3-0. The peer comparison uses recorded results dated 2025 onward. It is defensive work that separates them from the field. Set against the 47 teams in the same competition, they sit 11 points clear of the mean rating, scores 0.11 below its average scoring rate and concedes 0.23 below its average conceding rate. Current rating: 1529, drawn from 8 matches in the model's corpus. Narrowing the records to five matches gives 4 wins against 0 losses. Across their 13 matches in our records, that is 1.08 goals a game with 1.00 conceded. The components behind it are 0.95 for scoring and 0.76 for goals conceded, where a lower second figure is the stronger one. Looking at their 13 matches on record, the venue split is 3-3-1 home, 2-1-3 away. Which is 1.20 scored per match against 0.50 shipped. Against the field-average side, Elo gives them 51.6% of points. Against the 1500 starting rating they are 29 points above.
These are elo-poisson-v1 figures computed in-house from every recorded result.
Team Overview
Saudi Arabia have an Elo score of 1529 under our model; they are in the upper half of the World Cup field. Saudi Arabia drew with Uruguay 1-1; subsequently they lost to Spain 0-4 and drew with Cape Verde 0-0. Our match records include goals from A. Al Hamdan (2), S. Mandash (2), S. Al Dawsari and Abdulelah Al Amri. Saudi Arabia scored 14 goals at 1.08 per game across the 13 matches recorded for them. Saudi Arabia kept 8 clean sheets, a 61.5% share. Their worst defeat was 0-4 on 21 June 2026. Saudi Arabia's Elo rose 48 points between 23 September 2026 and 6 October 2026, moving from 1480 to 1529.