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Team

Gooolll model read
How this works
Start with the recent run. Form in 10 recorded matches: 1.2 points per game, 4 won, 0 drawn, 6 lost. Behind it the model carries them at 1457.
Against field-average opposition, their expected points share is about 41.2%. The peer set of 47 teams puts them 62 points below average rating, scores 0.13 below the mean forward, concedes 0.47 above it back. Across their 12 matches in our records, no loss has been wider than 7 goals, in a 0-7. Over five recorded matches: 1 won, 4 lost. Our record of their 12 matches shows 15 scored and 28 conceded. Looking at their 12 matches on record, the venue split is 2-0-3 home, 3-0-4 away. The sample includes a run of 3 straight defeats. The run carries a -12 goal difference. Taking their 12 recorded matches, the heaviest beating they have handed out finished 2-1. Where they beat the average most is on the attacking side. Component-wise that is 0.93 forward and 1.45 back, the smaller defensive figure being the better one. The rating stands at 1457, built from 11 rated matches. In our record of their 12 games, 8% of their sample — 1 match — has finished without conceding.
Everything here comes from our elo-poisson-v1 rating, not a third-party statistic.
Team Overview
Croatia have an Elo score of 1457 under our model; they are in the lower half of the World Cup field. Croatia lost to England 2-4; next they beat Panama 1-0, beat Ghana 2-1 and lost to Portugal 1-2. L. Vuskovic, I. Matanovic, L. Majer and L. Modric scored in recorded matches. Croatia conceded 28 goals over 12 matches held in our data, averaging 2.33 per game. Croatia kept 1 clean sheets, an 8.3% share. Their worst defeat was 0-7 on 3 October 2026. Croatia rate 62 Elo points below the other World Cup sides' average.
In the 2026 UEFA Nations League table, Croatia rank 3 of 4 teams with 3 points from 4 matches. That comes from 1 win, 0 draws and 3 defeats, with 4 goals scored, 14 goals conceded and a goal difference of -10. In the 2026 World Cup table the side ranks 2 of 4 teams, with 6 points from 3 matches. The record is 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, with 5 goals for, 5 goals against and a difference of 0. In the 2026 World Cup, the side has 4 matches with a result: 2 wins, 0 draws, 2 defeats, goals 6-7. In the 2026 International Friendlies, the side has 4 matches with a result: 2 wins, 0 draws, 2 defeats, goals 5-7.
The side has goals from 6 players; in total, 6 goals.
On the register of Croatia we hold 11 players: 3 goalkeepers, 2 defenders, 3 midfielders and 3 forwards. Ages among the registered players run from 24 to 36, with a median of 28.0. Bruno Petković has the greatest recorded height of the registered players, 192 cm.
Everything on this page that relates to the 2026 UEFA Nations League, including the squad, dates from 14 October 2026.
Croatia appear in 73 matches in our data, spread over 9 seasons (2008 to 2026) and 4 competitions. The 71 matches with a final result break down into 32 wins, 18 draws and 21 defeats for the side: 45% won. Goals in those matches: 106 goals scored and 98 goals conceded, or 1.5 and 1.4 per match. Among matches with a result: no goals conceded in 23%, no goals scored in 18%. No win in our data is wider than 4-0 against Cameroon, in the World Cup on 18 June 2014. The widest losing margin in these records is 0-7 against England, in the UEFA Nations League on 3 October 2026. Most matches in one calendar year: 2022, with 13 matches on record. Between 6 June 2022 and 9 December 2022, the side was unbeaten in 10 matches, a record in our data. Between 10 June 2022 and 25 September 2022, the side won 4 matches in succession, the longest winning run in our data. Over 5 seasons of the European Championship, the side has 12 wins, 8 draws and 6 defeats in 26 matches with a result, goals 41-30. Over 4 seasons of the World Cup, the side has 9 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats in 21 matches with a result, goals 34-29. Over 3 seasons of the UEFA Nations League, the side has 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats in 20 matches with a result, goals 26-32. The club’s first match in our data is Austria 0-1 Croatia, European Championship, on 8 June 2008.
Spain are the side Croatia have met most often in our data: 7 matches. The record in those matches is 1 win, 1 draw and 5 defeats for the side, goals 7-16. The most recent meeting with a result, on 6 October 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, ended Croatia 1-2 Spain. The next most frequent opponent is France, met 5 times, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats for the side. The club has also met England 4 times, with 1 win, 0 draws and 3 defeats.
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