Start with the recent run. Form over 7: 1.1 points per game, 2 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost. Behind it the model carries them at 1470.
The run carries a -4 goal difference. The peer set of 47 teams puts them 37 points below average rating, scores 0.02 below the mean forward, concedes 0.10 above it back. It is attacking work that separates them from the field. Component-wise that is 0.99 forward and 1.12 back, the smaller defensive figure being the better one. The rating stands at 1470, built from 7 rated matches. Over five matches: 1 won, 2 lost. Per game across those matches: 1.29 for, 1.86 against. The peer comparison is drawn from matches since 2025. They rank 3123 among the 4,449 teams the model carries. Roughly 70.2% of the rated field sits ahead of them.
A rating history is being recorded but does not yet hold enough points to plot.
Everything here comes from our elo-poisson-v1 rating, not a third-party statistic.