6 matches have brought 0 wins and 4 losses, 5-11 on goals at 0.3 a game. The rating sitting behind that is 1411.
Benchmarked to the 47-team field they come out 97 points below average, scores 0.14 below it in attack, concedes 0.10 above it in defence. The peer comparison is drawn from matches since 2025. They rank 4154 among the 4,449 teams the model carries. In percentile terms they clear the top 93.4%. That leaves them -6 on goal difference across the sample. Split into parts: 0.88 attack, 1.12 defence — on the latter, lower is better. 6 rated matches sit behind the current figure of 1411. Over five matches: 0 won, 3 lost. Scoring ran at 0.83 a game with 1.83 conceded.
Trend data has started collecting; there are too few points to show a curve yet.
These are elo-poisson-v1 figures computed in-house from every recorded result.