Sweden's rating of 1468 rests on 4 rated matches, too few to be settled. We publish it because it is what the model holds, not because the precision is earned.
Relative to the field it is the attacking half of their profile that stands out further. The figure is 1468, supported by 4 matches of record. Only about 71.8% of rated teams sit above them. Among all 4,449 teams the model rates, they come in at 3194. Recent record: 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 4, at 1.0 points per game, 7 for and 10 against. Compared with the rest of the competition (47 teams): 39 points below the mean, scores 0.03 above average scoring, concedes 0.17 above average conceding. Which is 1.75 scored per match against 2.50 shipped. Attack reads 1.05, defence 1.19 — remembering that a smaller defensive figure is the stronger one. Competition averages here are measured from 2025 onward. Goal difference over the run is -3.
Trend data has started collecting; there are too few points to show a curve yet.
In-house elo-poisson-v1 numbers, derived from the complete result corpus.