3 rated matches is a thin base for a rating, and New Zealand's 1419 should be read in that light.
A clean sheet has eluded them through all 3. That field average is computed from 2025. Elijah Just tops their goal chart on 3. 0 home wins and 0 away ones, from 2 and 1 respectively. Scoring ran at 1.33 a game with 3.33 conceded. The season average sits at 1.33 for, 3.33 against. In component terms: 0.99 scoring rate against a 1.26 conceding rate, lower being better on the second. Against the 47-team field they are 89 points below mean rating, scores 0.02 below average in attack and concedes 0.24 above it defensively. That leaves them -6 on goal difference across the sample. They sit in the top 91.7% of every side the model has a rating for. Of the two halves, the attacking side is where they separate most from competition average. The worst of the season went the other way, 1-5, 4 goals adrift. That is 4081th of 4,449 rated teams, inside the top 91.7%. The last 3 have produced 0.3 points per game — 0-1-2 with a 4-10 goal record, measured from 2026.
Everything here comes from our elo-poisson-v1 rating, not a third-party statistic.