Treat this figure carefully: 1419, but from only 3 rated matches. A rating on that base can move by tens of points on a single result.
That is 4081th of 4,449 rated teams, inside the top 91.7%. That field average is computed from 2025. Current rating: 1419, drawn from 3 matches in the model's corpus. It is attacking work that separates them from the field. Scoring ran at 1.33 a game with 3.33 conceded. The last 3 have produced 0.3 points per game — 0-1-2 with a 4-10 goal record, measured from 2026. In component terms: 0.99 scoring rate against a 1.26 conceding rate, lower being better on the second. Against the 47-team field they are 89 points below mean rating, scores 0.02 below average in attack and concedes 0.24 above it defensively. That leaves them -6 on goal difference across the sample. That puts them inside the top 91.7% of everything the model rates.
A rating history is being recorded but does not yet hold enough points to plot.
Everything here comes from our elo-poisson-v1 rating, not a third-party statistic.