Treat this figure carefully: 1467, but from only 4 rated matches. A rating on that base can move by tens of points on a single result.
That leaves them -2 on goal difference across the sample. Of the two halves, the defensive side is where they separate most from competition average. Averaged out that is 0.50 goals a game at one end and 1.00 at the other. The model's present valuation is 1467, on a base of 4 matches. Competition averages here are measured from 2025 onward. Among all 4,449 teams the model rates, they come in at 3234. They have taken 1.0 points a game from the last 4, scoring 2 and conceding 4. Attack reads 0.86, defence 0.94 — remembering that a smaller defensive figure is the stronger one. Only about 72.7% of rated teams sit above them. Benchmarked to the 47-team field they come out 40 points below average, scores 0.15 below it in attack, concedes 0.08 below it in defence.
A rating history is being recorded but does not yet hold enough points to plot.
These are elo-poisson-v1 figures computed in-house from every recorded result.