Treat this figure carefully: 1467, but from only 4 rated matches. A rating on that base can move by tens of points on a single result.
That leaves them -2 on goal difference across the sample. The defensive component is what puts distance between them and a typical side here. Averaged out that is 0.50 goals a game at one end and 1.00 at the other. No loss has been wider than 2 goals, in a 0-2. Competition averages here are measured from 2025 onward. Among all 4,449 teams the model rates, they come in at 3226. Their season rate comes to 0.50 goals a game at one end and 1.00 at the other. Attack reads 0.86, defence 0.94 — remembering that a smaller defensive figure is the stronger one. Their heaviest win of the season is 1-0, a 1-goal margin. The defence has held out completely in 1 of 4 fixtures. 4 played, 2 for, 4 against — the 2026 season in three numbers. They have taken 1.0 points a game from the last 4, scoring 2 and conceding 4. Benchmarked to the 47-team field they come out 40 points below average, scores 0.15 below it in attack, concedes 0.08 below it in defence.
These are elo-poisson-v1 figures computed in-house from every recorded result.