With only 5 rated matches on file, USA's 1504 is an early estimate rather than a settled figure.
Underneath the single number sit 1.15 going forward and 1.06 going back, the second being better the smaller it is. Their last five produced 3 wins and 2 defeats. 2 of those 5 ended as clean sheets, 40% of the season. 1504 is the current figure, computed across 5 rated matches. Measured over the whole season they average 2.20 scored against 1.60 allowed. The attacking component is what puts distance between them and a typical side here. Peers are measured over results since 2025. The run carries a +3 goal difference. A 4-1 stands as the season's most one-sided win for them. Playing at home they have taken 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, against 0-0-1 on the road. Measured across the whole rated pool, that is the top 32.0%. The 2026 season record runs to 5 matches, 11 scored and 8 against. The season's worst result for them is a 1-4 defeat. The last 5 have produced 1.8 points per game — 3-0-2 with a 11-8 goal record, measured from 2026.
These are elo-poisson-v1 figures computed in-house from every recorded result.