Compared with the rest of the competition (47 teams): 199 points clear of the mean, scores 0.32 above average scoring, concedes 0.01 below average conceding. Stated plainly: 1701, built on 15 matches.
In our record of their 16 games, at home they are 5-2-3; on the road, 6-0-0. 39 for and 17 against sum up their 16 matches on record. In the five newest recorded matches they won 4 and lost 1. Looking at their 16 matches on record, 7-0 is the scoreline they will point to, 7 goals the sample's widest. Attack reads 1.33, defence 1.01 — remembering that a smaller defensive figure is the stronger one. The recorded sequence ends on 3 wins in a row. Per match that is 3.00 at one end, 1.30 at the other. Of the two halves, the attacking side is where they separate most from competition average. Net goals for the period: +17. Taking their 16 recorded matches, 3 successive wins close the recorded sample. Across their 16 matches in our records, the longest run without defeat is 8. Against the 1500 starting rating they are 201 points above.
Rating history is accumulating; a chart would be premature.
Source: our own elo-poisson-v1 model, run over the complete match record.
Team Overview
England have an Elo score of 1701 under our model; they are one of the three strongest sides in the World Cup. England beat Croatia 4-2; next they drew with Ghana 0-0, beat Panama 2-0, beat Congo DR 2-1, beat Mexico 3-2, beat Norway 2-1, lost to Argentina 1-2 and beat France 6-4. The recorded goals include contributions by Harry Kane (7), Jude Bellingham (7), Bukayo Saka (3) and B. White. England scored 39 goals at 2.44 per game in their 16 matches in our records. England averaged 1.70 points at home and 3.00 away. Their heaviest win was 7-0 on 3 October 2026. Our model ranks England's attack 1st in the World Cup. England rate 199 Elo points above the other World Cup sides' average.