Mexico sit on 1575, but that comes from 5 rated matches — thin enough that the next result will move it noticeably.
In their 10 recorded matches they are 5W 2D 3L, 17 scored and 11 conceded, 1.7 points per game. Looking at their 17 matches on record, the worst result for them is a 0-3 defeat. In our record of their 17 games, the rate is 1.59 scored and 0.71 against per match. In our record of their 17 games, home and away the record divides into 7-4-2 and 3-0-1. From the model's 1500 seed, they stand 75 points above it. The recorded comparison window opens in 2025. On goals they are +6 across the period. The recorded tally for Julián Quiñones in the 2026 World Cup was 4 goals. Per match that is 1.70 at one end, 1.10 at the other. They scored 27 and conceded 12 in their 17 recorded matches. In our record of their 17 games, 59% of their sample — 10 matches — has finished without conceding. They carry 1575, computed over 5 rated matches.
The history table has begun filling but holds too few points to draw a line.
Generated by elo-poisson-v1 across full history rather than republished.
Team Overview
Mexico rate 1575 in our Elo model; they are in the top quarter of the World Cup field. Mexico beat South Africa 2-0; next they beat Korea Republic 1-0, beat Czechia 3-0, beat Ecuador 2-0 and lost to England 2-3. Our match records include goals from Julián Quiñones (4), Raúl Jiménez (3), B. Gutierrez (2) and J. Vasquez (2). Mexico conceded 12 goals in their 17 matches in our records, averaging 0.71 per game. Mexico kept 10 clean sheets, a 58.8% share. Mexico averaged 1.92 points at home and 2.25 away. In the 2026 World Cup standings, Mexico had the joint-lowest goals-against average per match. Their heaviest win was 5-1 on 5 June 2026. Mexico rate 70 Elo points above the other World Cup sides' average.