Japan's rating of 1512 rests on 4 rated matches, too few to be settled. We publish it because it is what the model holds, not because the precision is earned.
The two halves read 1.10 and 0.98, where a lower second number is stronger. Against the 47-team field they are 6 points clear of mean rating, scores 0.09 above average in attack and concedes 0.04 below it defensively. Out of 4,449 rated sides they rank 1205. The last 4 have produced 1.3 points per game — 1-2-1 with a 8-5 goal record, measured from 2026. 1512 is the current figure, computed across 4 rated matches. The peer comparison is drawn from matches since 2025. Only about 27.1% of rated teams sit above them. On goals they are +3 across the period. Per game across those matches: 2.00 for, 1.25 against.
Trend data has started collecting; there are too few points to show a curve yet.
These are elo-poisson-v1 figures computed in-house from every recorded result.