Start with the recent run. The 10 matches on record have produced 2.1 points per game — 6-3-1 with a 17-8 goal record. Behind it the model carries them at 1534.
1534 is the current figure, computed across 8 rated matches. Against the 47-team field they are 16 points clear of mean rating, scores 0.08 above average in attack and concedes 0.10 below it defensively. In our record of their 11 games, they once strung 6 matches together without losing. That is 34 points above the 1500 start. 4 successive matches in our records passed without defeat. The peer comparison uses recorded results dated 2025 onward. Taking their 11 recorded matches, the heaviest beating they have handed out finished 4-0. Over five recorded matches: 3 won, 1 lost. Per game across those matches: 1.70 for, 0.80 against. Taking their 11 recorded matches, clean sheets number 5, or 45% of matches played. In our record of their 11 games, their heaviest defeat reads 1-2. The two halves read 1.14 and 0.89, where a lower second number is stronger. On goals they are +9 across the period. Looking back over their 11 recorded matches, the goal totals are 18 and 8.
These are elo-poisson-v1 figures computed in-house from every recorded result.
Team Overview
Japan rate 1534 in our Elo model; they are in the upper half of the World Cup field. Japan drew with Netherlands 2-2; subsequently they beat Tunisia 4-0, drew with Sweden 1-1 and lost to Brazil 1-2. Our match records include goals from Ayase Ueda (3), Daichi Kamada (2), A. Ueda (2) and J. Ito. Japan conceded 8 goals in their 11 matches in our records, averaging 0.73 per game. Their heaviest win was 4-0 on 21 June 2026.