Form first: The 10 matches on record have produced 2.3 points per game — 7-2-1 with a 19-8 goal record. That supports a current rating of 1564.
Averaged out that is 1.90 goals a game at one end and 0.80 at the other. Component-wise that is 0.97 forward and 0.74 back, the smaller defensive figure being the better one. Taking their 13 recorded matches, the heaviest beating they have handed out finished 5-0. Cristiano Ronaldo recorded 3 goals in the 2026 World Cup. The peer comparison uses recorded results dated 2025 onward. The gap to average is carried mainly on the defensive side. Goals for and against net to +11. Looking at their 13 matches on record, they won the 4 newest matches in this sample. The sample includes a run of 4 straight wins. Looking at their 13 matches on record, 5 shutouts have come from 13 matches. In our record of their 13 games, the rate is 1.77 scored and 0.69 against per match. Across their 13 matches in our records, where they play has mattered: 6-1-1 at their own ground, 3-2-0 away from it.
Too few recorded points so far to show how this rating has moved.
In-house elo-poisson-v1 numbers, derived from the complete result corpus.
Team Overview
Portugal rate 1564 in our Elo model; they are in the upper half of the World Cup field. Portugal drew with Congo DR 1-1, then beat Uzbekistan 5-0, drew with Colombia 0-0, beat Croatia 2-1 and lost to Spain 0-1. The recorded goals include contributions by Cristiano Ronaldo (3), Trincao, Joao Felix and Gonçalo Guedes. Portugal conceded 9 goals over 13 matches held in our data, averaging 0.69 per game. Their heaviest win was 5-0 on 23 June 2026. Our model ranks Portugal's defence 2nd in the World Cup.