Form first: The last 10 have produced 1.6 points per game — 4-4-2 with a 13-6 goal record, measured from 2024. That supports a current rating of 1564.
The gap to average is carried mainly on the defensive side. Component-wise that is 0.97 forward and 0.74 back, the smaller defensive figure being the better one. The worst of the season went the other way, 0-1, 1 goal adrift. Current rating: 1564, drawn from 10 matches in the model's corpus. In the last five they have won 2 and lost 1. Measured across the whole rated pool, that is the top 13.8%. The peer comparison is drawn from matches since 2025. The top scorer in the squad is Cristiano Ronaldo, with 3. Averaged out that is 1.30 goals a game at one end and 0.60 at the other. The heaviest beating they have handed out finished 5-0. 2 shutouts have come from 5 matches. Take the 2026 season whole and it is 5 matches, 8-3 on goals. Out of 4,449 rated sides they rank 612. The peer set of 47 teams puts them 59 points clear of average rating, scores 0.04 below the mean forward, concedes 0.28 below it back.
Too few recorded points so far to show how this rating has moved.
In-house elo-poisson-v1 numbers, derived from the complete result corpus.