Brazil's figure stands at 1566 off 5 rated matches — early days for the rating.
Their expected share against the field-average side: 58.7%. In our record of their 12 games, they once strung 7 matches together without losing. Across their 12 matches in our records, the defence has held out completely in 3 of 12 fixtures. The peer set of 47 teams puts them 61 points clear of average rating, scores 0.11 above the mean forward, concedes 0.12 below it back. Per game across those matches: 2.70 for, 1.00 against. Narrowing the records to five matches gives 3 wins against 1 loss. In our record of their 12 games, broken down by venue: 5-1-2 at home, 3-1-0 elsewhere. The 10 matches on record have produced 2.3 points per game — 7-2-1 with a 27-10 goal record. Across their 12 matches in our records, no loss has been wider than 1 goal, in a 1-2. The run carries a +17 goal difference. Across their 12 matches in our records, that is 2.58 goals a game with 1.08 conceded.
We have started keeping their rating history; it needs more points before it means anything.
In-house elo-poisson-v1 numbers, derived from the complete result corpus.
Team Overview
Brazil have an Elo score of 1566 under our model; they are in the top quarter of the World Cup field. Brazil drew with Morocco 1-1; subsequently they beat Haiti 3-0, beat Scotland 3-0, beat Japan 2-1 and lost to Norway 1-2. The recorded goals include contributions by Vinicius Junior (6), Matheus Cunha (3), Danilo (2) and I. Thiago (2). Brazil scored 31 goals at 2.58 per game across the 12 matches recorded for them. Brazil averaged 2.00 points at home and 2.50 away. Their heaviest win was 4-0 on 3 October 2026. Brazil rate 61 Elo points above the other World Cup sides' average.