The last stretch is doing the work here. 9 of these 10 recorded matches were won and 1 lost, 30-8 on goals, worth 2.7 a game. Rating now 1727.
In component terms: 1.27 scoring rate against a 0.87 conceding rate, lower being better on the second. Across their 15 matches in our records, their most comfortable afternoon ended 7-0. Competition averages use our recorded results from 2025 onward. The gap to average is carried mainly on the attacking side. The recorded sequence ends on 3 wins in a row. The recorded tally for Lionel Messi in the 2026 World Cup was 8 goals. In our record of their 15 games, the recorded sequence ends with 3 consecutive victories. Their five newest recorded results produced 4 wins and 1 defeat. In our record of their 15 games, broken down by venue: 12-0-0 at home, 2-0-1 elsewhere. From the model's 1500 seed, they stand 227 points above it. Taking their 15 recorded matches, clean sheets number 8, or 53% of matches played. Looking at their 15 matches on record, per match: 3.00 scored, 0.60 conceded.
Trajectory data exists but is too sparse to plot.
Generated by elo-poisson-v1 across full history rather than republished.
Team Overview
Argentina have an Elo score of 1727 under our model; they are one of the three strongest sides in the World Cup. Argentina beat Algeria 3-0; next they beat Austria 2-0, beat Jordan 3-1, beat Cape Verde 3-2, beat Egypt 3-2, beat Switzerland 3-1, beat England 2-1 and lost to Spain 0-1. Our match records include goals from Lionel Messi (8), N. Paz (4), L. Messi (3) and L. Martinez (3). Argentina conceded 9 goals in their 15 matches in our records, averaging 0.6 per game. Argentina scored 45 goals at 3 per game. Argentina kept 8 clean sheets, a 53.3% share. Argentina averaged 3.00 points at home and 2.00 away. Their heaviest win was 7-0 on 4 October 2026. Argentina rate 226 Elo points above the other World Cup sides' average.