Paraguay sit on 1483, but that comes from 5 rated matches — thin enough that the next result will move it noticeably.
The season's biggest margin in their favour is 1 goal, from a 1-0. The last 5 have produced 1.0 points per game — 1-2-2 with a 3-6 goal record, measured from 2026. Their 2026 ledger shows 5 played with 3 scored and 6 conceded. Scoring ran at 0.60 a game with 1.20 conceded. Against competition average across 47 teams — 23 points below on rating, scores 0.17 below on scoring, concedes 0.06 below on conceding. The defence has held out completely in 2 of 5 fixtures. At the other extreme they lost 1-4, a 3-goal margin. Compared with the field, the defensive figure is the more distinctive of the two. Underneath the single number sit 0.85 going forward and 0.96 going back, the second being better the smaller it is. Competition averages here are measured from 2025 onward. Where they play has mattered: 0-1-1 at their own ground, 1-1-1 away from it. Only about 54.1% of rated teams sit above them. Out of 4,449 rated sides they rank 2408.
Our elo-poisson-v1 model produced the above from the full match record.