Spain come into view on a run the model can see in the numbers. In their 10 recorded matches they are 10W 0D 0L, 22 scored and 6 conceded, 3.0 points per game. A sequence like that pulls a rating upward, and theirs now reads 1784.
1784 is the current figure, computed across 15 rated matches. Relative to the field it is the defensive half of their profile that stands out further. Across their 16 matches in our records, the sample ends with 11 straight wins. Against the 1500 starting rating they are 284 points above. Peers are measured over recorded results dated 2025 onward. Their 16 matches on our books show 33 scored and 8 conceded. Across their 16 matches in our records, the defence has held out completely in 9 of 16 fixtures. Relative to a 47-team field: 284 points clear of the average rating, scores 0.18 above the mean going forward, concedes 0.50 below it at the back. Across the five newest recorded results: 5 won, 0 lost. The run carries a +16 goal difference.
We have started keeping their rating history; it needs more points before it means anything.
Produced by our elo-poisson-v1 model over full match history.
Team Overview
Spain have an Elo score of 1784 under our model; they are one of the three strongest sides in the World Cup. Spain drew with Cape Verde 0-0; subsequently they beat Saudi Arabia 4-0, beat Uruguay 1-0, beat Austria 3-0, beat Portugal 1-0, beat Belgium 2-1, beat France 2-0 and beat Argentina 1-0. Spain's current recorded form ends with 7 consecutive wins in that 2026 run. The recorded goals include contributions by Mikel Oyarzabal (5), M. Oyarzabal (3), Ferrán Torres (2) and Pedro Porro (2). Spain conceded 8 goals over 16 matches held in our data, averaging 0.5 per game. Spain scored 33 goals at 2.06 per game. Spain kept 9 clean sheets, a 56.3% share. Spain averaged 2.40 points at home and 3.00 away. In the 2026 World Cup standings, Spain had the joint-lowest goals-against average per match. Their heaviest win was 4-0 on 21 June 2026. Our model ranks Spain's defence 1st in the World Cup. Spain rate 284 Elo points above the other World Cup sides' average.