3 wins in 10 is the headline; the rating underneath reads 1423, from 53 rated matches.
The peer set of 22 teams puts them 123 points below average rating, scores 0.25 below the mean forward, concedes 0.17 above it back. Every rated team begins at 1500; they sit 77 points below it. Facing the field-average side, they would expect 33.0% of points. 53 rated matches sit behind the current figure of 1423. Per game across those matches: 0.80 for, 1.20 against. Across their last 48 matches in our records, all competitions included, their longest unbeaten stretch ran to 4 matches. Where they beat the average most is on the defensive side. Taking their last 48 games on record across competitions gives 63 scored against 78 shipped. In component terms: 0.80 scoring rate against a 1.17 conceding rate, lower being better on the second. 3 of these 10 recorded matches were won and 4 lost, 8-12 on goals, worth 1.2 a game. Richarlison scored 11 goals. Looking at their last 48 matches on record across competitions, 13 shutouts have come from 48 matches. Across their last 48 matches in our records, all competitions included, their heaviest win is 4-0, a 4-goal margin.
Produced by our elo-poisson-v1 model over full match history.
Team Overview
Tottenham have an Elo score of 1423 under our model; they are one of the three lowest-rated sides in the Premier League. Tottenham lost to Brentford 0-3 in Premier League's 2026/27 season; next they lost to Newcastle 0-2, drew with Nottingham 0-0, drew with Everton 0-0 and lost to Aston Villa 2-3. Tottenham conceded 78 goals across their last 48 matches in our records, all competitions, averaging 1.63 per game. Tottenham averaged 1.04 points at home and 1.08 away. Their heaviest win was 4-0 on 4 November 2025. Tottenham's Elo fell 31 points between 22 August 2026 and 19 September 2026, moving from 1454 to 1423. Tottenham rate 123 Elo points below the other Premier League sides' average.