Start with the recent run. Form in 10 recorded matches: 1.1 points per game, 2 won, 5 drawn, 3 lost. Behind it the model carries them at 1460.
The comparison set contains recorded results from 2025. In our record of their last 36 games across competitions, the widest they have won by is 6, in a 6-0. The figure is 1460, supported by 34 matches of record. Taking their latest 36 recorded matches across competitions, at the other extreme they lost 2-5, a 3-goal margin. In the five newest recorded matches they won 1 and lost 1. Across their last 36 matches in our records, all competitions included, that is 1.69 goals a game with 1.61 conceded. With all competitions counted, their last 36 games in our records yielded 61 goals for and 58 against. The peer set of 17 teams puts them 32 points below average rating, scores 0.01 above the mean forward, concedes 0.05 below it back. Across their last 36 matches in our records, all competitions included, split by venue the record reads 7-7-3 at home and 2-8-9 away.
The series behind this rating is still short — no curve is drawn from it yet.
Our elo-poisson-v1 model produced the above from the full match record.
Team Overview
Our Elo rating for Go Ahead is 1460. Go Ahead beat Willem II 4-1 during the 2026/27 Eredivisie, then drew with Feyenoord 2-2, beat Den Haag 3-1, lost to AZ 2-5, drew with Utrecht 3-3, drew with Groningen 1-1 and drew with NEC 1-1. Søren Tengstedt (5), Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson (3), Victor Edvardsen (3) and Melle Meulensteen scored in recorded matches. Go Ahead averaged 1.65 points at home and 0.74 away across competitions in the most recent 36 matches we hold. Their heaviest win was 6-0 on 15 March 2026.