Start with the recent run. 10 recorded matches have brought 3 wins and 4 losses, 12-18 on goals at 1.2 a game. Behind it the model carries them at 1497.
Looking at their last 39 matches on record across competitions, 10 shutouts have come from 39 matches. Their expected share against the field-average side: 43.4%. Against the 1500 seed they sit 3 points below. In our record of their last 39 games across competitions, their heaviest defeat reads 0-5. Compared with the rest of the competition (22 teams): 46 points below the mean, scores 0.16 below average scoring, concedes 0.17 above average conceding. Scoring ran at 1.20 a game with 1.80 conceded. In our record of their last 39 games across competitions, they once strung 5 matches together without losing. Goal difference over the run is -6. The recorded comparison window opens in 2025. They scored 43 and conceded 55 in their last 39 recorded matches, all competitions included. The figure is 1497, supported by 43 matches of record. Across their last 39 matches in our records, all competitions included, their rate comes to 1.10 goals a game at one end and 1.41 at the other.
Produced by our elo-poisson-v1 model over full match history.
Team Overview
Sunderland rate 1497 in our Elo model; they are in the lower half of the Premier League field. Sunderland lost to Ipswich Town 1-2 in the 2026/27 Premier League; next they beat Fulham 1-0, drew with Brentford 1-1, lost to Arsenal 0-2 and lost to Man City 3-5. The recorded goals include contributions by Brian Brobbey (3), Nilson Angulo, Wilson Isidor and Enzo Le Fée. Sunderland scored 43 goals at 1.1 per game over the latest 39 recorded matches across competitions. Their worst defeat was 0-5 on 24 April 2026.