Start with the recent run. A 2-1-7 return from 10 recorded matches gives 0.7 points per game, with 9 scored against 25. Behind it the model carries them at 1405.
Over five recorded matches: 1 won, 3 lost. The rating stands at 1405, built from 34 rated matches. Of the two halves, the attacking side is where they separate most from competition average. Koen Kostons has 3 goals in the scoring record. Against competition average across 17 teams — 90 points below on rating, scores 0.20 below on scoring, concedes 0.38 above on conceding. That puts their expected points share against the field-average side at about 37.3%. With all competitions counted, their last 37 games in our records yielded 46 goals for and 86 against. That is 95 points below the 1500 every team starts from. Underneath the single number sit 0.94 going forward and 1.52 going back, the second being better the smaller it is. In our record of their last 37 games across competitions, their heaviest defeat reads 0-7. Taking their latest 37 recorded matches across competitions, they have won by as much as 3, taking a fixture 4-1.
The series behind this rating is still short — no curve is drawn from it yet.
All figures are our own elo-poisson-v1 output rather than a provider feed.
Team Overview
Zwolle rate 1405 in our Elo model. Zwolle lost to Ajax 0-2 during the 2026/27 Eredivisie; next they lost to Twente 1-3, beat Heerenveen 2-0, lost to NEC 1-3, drew with Sparta 2-2, lost to Feyenoord 0-7 and lost to Groningen 0-3. The recorded goals include contributions by Koen Kostons (3), Nick Viergever (2), Elias Sørensen and Ibrahim Cissoko. Zwolle conceded 86 goals across competitions in the most recent 37 matches we hold, averaging 2.32 per game. Zwolle scored 46 goals at 1.24 per game. Zwolle averaged 1.39 points at home and 0.53 away. Their worst defeat was 0-7 on 13 September 2026.