Against competition average across 17 teams — 205 points clear of on rating, scores 0.96 above on scoring, concedes 0.08 below on conceding. In absolute terms that is 1684 from 42 rated matches.
It is the attacking half that accounts for most of their margin over average. A 7-2-1 return from 10 recorded matches gives 2.3 points per game, with 34 scored against 13. In our record of their last 44 games across competitions, 14% of their sample — 6 matches — has finished without conceding. Against the field-average side, their expected share of points is 76.5%. Goals for and against net to +21. Taking their latest 44 recorded matches across competitions, at their most settled they went 14 matches unbeaten. In the five newest recorded matches they won 3 and lost 1. The last 44 games we have on record, across competitions, produced 124 goals for and 61 against. In our record of their last 44 games across competitions, the rate is 2.82 scored and 1.39 against per match. The model's present valuation is 1684, on a base of 42 matches.
The series behind this rating is still short — no curve is drawn from it yet.
These are elo-poisson-v1 figures computed in-house from every recorded result.
Team Overview
Our Elo rating for PSV is 1684. PSV drew with Sittard 2-2 in the 2026/27 Eredivisie, then beat Excelsior 2-1, beat Groningen 5-1, beat Utrecht 6-1, beat Ajax 3-1, beat Sparta 4-1 and lost to Twente 2-3. Guus Til (4), Ricardo Pepi (3), Sergiño Dest (3) and Ruben van Bommel (2) scored in recorded matches. PSV conceded 61 goals over the latest 44 recorded matches across competitions, averaging 1.39 per game. PSV scored 124 goals at 2.82 per game. Their heaviest win was 6-1 on 30 August 2026.