Form first: Form in 10 recorded matches: 1.5 points per game, 4 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost. That supports a current rating of 1553.
Net goals for the period: +1. Taking their latest 50 recorded matches across competitions, playing at home they have taken 14 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats, against 7-5-13 on the road. Against the 22-team field they are 13 points clear of mean rating, scores 0.19 above average in attack and concedes 0.26 above it defensively. Across their last 50 matches in our records, all competitions included, the longest run without defeat is 5. Looking at their last 50 matches on record across competitions, 6-1 is the scoreline they will point to, 5 goals the sample's widest. That is 53 points above the 1500 every team starts from. 87 scored and 77 conceded came from their last 50 matches in our records across competitions. Against field-average opposition, their expected points share is about 51.9%. Taking their latest 50 recorded matches across competitions, at the other extreme they lost 2-7, a 5-goal margin. The comparison set contains recorded results from 2025. The two halves read 1.22 and 1.25, where a lower second number is stronger.
Everything here comes from our elo-poisson-v1 rating, not a third-party statistic.
Team Overview
Newcastle rate 1553 in our Elo model; they are in the lower half of the Premier League field. Newcastle drew with Liverpool 2-2 in Premier League's 2026/27 season, then beat Tottenham 2-0, drew with Bournemouth 2-2, lost to Leeds United 1-4 and beat Hull City 2-1. Our match records include goals from Anthony Elanga (2), Joe Willock (2), Yoane Wissa and Harvey Barnes. Newcastle conceded 77 goals across their last 50 matches in our records, all competitions, averaging 1.54 per game. Newcastle scored 87 goals at 1.74 per game. Newcastle kept 10 clean sheets, a 20.0% share. Newcastle averaged 1.88 points at home and 1.04 away. Their heaviest win was 6-1 on 18 February 2026. Their worst defeat was 2-7 on 18 March 2026.