The peer set of 22 teams puts them 225 points clear of average rating, scores 0.49 above the mean forward, concedes 0.27 below it back. Stated plainly: 1756, built on 54 matches.
Their expected share against the field-average side: 78.5%. Across their last 49 matches in our records, all competitions included, split by venue the record reads 18-3-3 at home and 13-7-5 away. Goal difference over the run is +15. They have taken 2.5 points a game from these 10 recorded matches, scoring 23 and conceding 8. The figure is 1756, supported by 54 matches of record. Taking their latest 49 recorded matches across competitions, the average sits at 2.00 for, 1.02 against. Across their last 49 matches in our records, all competitions included, a 5-1 stands as the sample's most one-sided win for them. The peer comparison uses recorded results dated 2025 onward. The scoring record credits Erling Haaland with 5 goals. In our record of their last 49 games across competitions, 39% of their sample — 19 matches — has finished without conceding. That is 256 points above the 1500 every team starts from. The recorded sequence ends on 6 wins in a row.
Everything here comes from our elo-poisson-v1 rating, not a third-party statistic.
Team Overview
Man City have an Elo score of 1756 under our model; they are one of the three strongest sides in the Premier League. Man City beat Bournemouth 2-1 in Premier League's 2026/27 season; next they beat Crystal Palace 4-1, beat Coventry City 1-0, beat Man United 1-0 and beat Sunderland 5-3. Man City's current recorded form ends with 5 consecutive wins in Premier League 2026/27. The recorded goals include contributions by Erling Haaland (6), Rayan Cherki (3), Antoine Semenyo (2) and Marc Guéhi. Man City conceded 50 goals across their last 49 matches in our records, all competitions, averaging 1.02 per game. Man City scored 98 goals at 2 per game. Man City kept 19 clean sheets, a 38.8% share. Their heaviest win was 5-1 on 27 September 2025. Man City's Elo rose 80 points between 23 August 2026 and 20 September 2026, moving from 1676 to 1756. Our model ranks Man City's attack 1st in Premier League. Our model ranks Man City's defence 2nd in Premier League. Man City rate 225 Elo points above the other Premier League sides' average.