Against the 22-team field they are 268 points clear of mean rating, scores 0.12 above average in attack and concedes 0.52 below it defensively. In absolute terms that is 1797 from 59 rated matches.
In our record of their last 54 games across competitions, they once strung 14 matches together without losing. Per match that is 1.40 at one end, 0.60 at the other. Component-wise that is 1.15 forward and 0.51 back, the smaller defensive figure being the better one. Across their last 54 matches in our records, all competitions included, the defence has held out completely in 28 of 54 fixtures. That field average uses results in our records from 2025. Bukayo Saka contributed 3 goals. 8 of these 10 recorded matches were won and 1 lost, 14-6 on goals, worth 2.5 a game. In our record of their last 54 games across competitions, their heaviest defeat reads 0-3. From the model's 1500 seed, they stand 297 points above it. A match against the field-average side is worth about 82.4% of the points to them. Goal difference over the run is +8. They carry 1797, computed over 59 rated matches.
All figures are our own elo-poisson-v1 output rather than a provider feed.
Team Overview
Our Elo rating for Arsenal is 1797; they are one of the three strongest sides in the Premier League. Arsenal beat Coventry City 3-0 in the 2026/27 Premier League, then beat Aston Villa 1-0, beat Chelsea 2-1, beat Sunderland 2-0 and lost to Brighton Hove 0-3. Our match records include goals from Martin Ødegaard (3), Kai Havertz (2), Bukayo Saka (2) and Bruno Guimarães. Arsenal conceded 37 goals over the latest 54 recorded matches across competitions, averaging 0.69 per game. Arsenal scored 99 goals at 1.83 per game. Arsenal kept 28 clean sheets, a 51.9% share. Their heaviest win was 4-0 on 31 January 2026. Our model ranks Arsenal's defence 1st in Premier League. Arsenal rate 268 Elo points above the other Premier League sides' average.